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reopt Handbook
reopt Handbook
Customer Conversion Simulation

Reading Guide

How to Read the EvidenceConversion Rate Intervals

Conversion Atlas

Conversion Atlas by ChannelConversion Atlas by ProductConversion Atlas by RoleKorean Conversion Atlas

Paid Marketing

Paid Channel BaselinesReported and Incremental ConversionsCreative, Retargeting, and Saturation

Referral Marketing

Referral Funnel MetricsReferral Experiments and Limits to Spread

Partners and Influencers

Influencer Marketing ConversionPartnerships, Collaborations, and Sponsorships

Ecommerce

Ecommerce Conversion BaselinesEcommerce Funnels and CartsEffect Sizes of Ecommerce Levers

SaaS

Self-Serve SaaS ConversionEarly-Stage SaaS ConversionSales-Led Conversion

Apps

Mobile App Acquisition and RetentionApp Subscription ConversionDesktop App Conversion

Consultation and Application Forms

Building Forecasts

Expert Forecasts and CalibrationChoosing a Forecasting ModelLLM Synthetic Customers

Korean Case Studies

Korean Cases: Advertising and CommerceKorean Cases: Consultations, Finance, and Public Experiments

Appendix

Handbook›Customer Conversion Simulation›Korean Cases: Advertising and Commerce
한국어KOEnglishEN

Korean Cases: Advertising and Commerce

Review Naver log analyses, advertising-platform cases, store conversion, repeat-purchase filings, company experiments, and live commerce with denominators and evidence grades.

Written and reviewed by Eric Han · Co-founder & CTO, reopt

Key takeaways

  • Naver logs associate advertising stores with +118.1% transaction value versus nonadvertisers in log-coefficient notation, approximately +226% after transformation. Stores able to spend more self-select into advertising.
  • Vendor store-conversion aggregates give a 2.06% mean and 0.72–5.05% by industry. The top-100-store sample from 2021 may overstate new-store performance.
  • No source for the 5–8% live-commerce conversion claim discloses its sample; 20% refers to top Chinese wanghong. Naver cumulative buyers divided by views is about 1%.
  • We found two Korean advertiser conversion-lift cases, but neither discloses enough sample information to provide an adjustment multiplier.
  • Lift depends on the metric and measurement scope. The same Kurly feature produced +0.3 percentage points purchase conversion in an A/B test and +595% in a narrower before/after comparison.

Grades follow How to Read the Evidence and appear at the end of the first table cell. Select inputs in the Korean Conversion Atlas.

Paid Channels

Naver Transaction-Log Analysis

The D-Ad Report and AI RIDE Report use Naver data analyzed by university researchers. They are not peer-reviewed, and Naver sells the ads; it also co-designed AI RIDE campaigns. Still, few Korean advertising sources disclose both samples and models.

ComparisonResultSample / periodInterpretation
Advertising versus nonadvertising stores, BTransaction value +118.1%, orders +16.8%, log coefficient × 100; transformed about +226% and +18%, calculated59,680 fashion/food stores and an equal number of nonadvertisers, 104 weeksSelf-selection by stores able to advertise. Source does not explain the transaction/order gap
Shopping search alone versus combinations, BThree products: transaction value +57.3%, orders +35.9%; four: +57.2%, +39.3%69,295 storesFourth product added no transaction-value gain. Spend control undisclosed
One-to-one consulting, propensity matching plus difference-in-differences, BClicks +9–15%; CPC about +15–20%42,679 Powerlink accounts, 6,700 consulted; 40,151 Place accounts, 4,200 consulted; 425 daysImmediate 0–3-week effects; no conversion/revenue results
Directly managed advertiser CPC, BMean 992, median 267, SD 2,597Same sampleUnits unstated; mean about 3.7 times median, calculated
CTR before/after consulting, B1.93 → 1.98, p=0.0508Consulted accountsUnits unstated. Mean clicks ÷ mean impressions in the same chart is about 0.2%, calculated; aggregation matters
ADVoost Shopping after meeting learning threshold, 30 purchases in seven days, versus nonusers, CAttributed purchase conversions +165%; store transaction value +66%; orders +59%616 entrants: 452 users, 164 controls; six weeksTreatment depends on sales outcomes, selecting high-selling stores. Includes 152 voluntary users; no randomization stated, so downgraded relative to other Naver logs
Digital out-of-home, budget-set versus unset months, BMean monthly Place bookings 105.3 versus 98.5, +6.9%Within-business comparison; count undisclosed; April–June 2026Source avoids causal claims; businesses may advertise in busy months

ADVoost's +165% attributed conversions versus +66% transaction value, a 2.5-times ratio of lifts, is not a reported-to-incremental multiplier. Treatment classification uses purchase conversions, mechanically favoring that outcome. The D-Ad Report provides a less distorted illustration of attribution versus total outcomes: four products yield about twice the conversion revenue of three, yet total store transaction values are effectively equal. Different stores use different combinations, so this is not a direct comparison; it is only consistent with the warning in Reported and Incremental Conversions.

AI RIDE reports spending elasticities of 0.31% for purchase conversions, 0.09% for transaction value, and 0.17% for ROAS per 1% spend increase. Rising ROAS with spend contradicts usual diminishing-return expectations and warrants scrutiny of sample selection.

Increasing Budgets

Naver's advertiser-center Place article compares 90 days before/after, with undisclosed sample (D).

AdvertisersSpendImpressionsClicksCalculated click elasticity
Raised daily budget by at least KRW 50,000+57%+37%+36%About 0.68
More than doubled spending3.5×2.2×More than 2×At least about 0.55

Elasticity is ln(click multiple) ÷ ln(spend multiple). The source describes rising performance, but the figures imply rapidly increasing CPC. No conversions/revenue are reported, and only budget-increasing advertisers are included. See Creative, Retargeting, and Saturation for curve assumptions.

Consumer Recall

Nasmedia 2025 NPR reports recalled purchases following ad exposure: search 21%, short-form video 15%, Kakao messenger 12%, social feeds 11% (January 2025, 1,900 respondents; media-representation firm, C). Social feeds moved from 25% to 11% in one year, short-form from 6% to 15%. Such survey variation makes neither levels nor rankings suitable for channel selection.

A Korea Press Foundation 2024 survey interviewed 3,000 people at home. Among social users, 63.7% had clicked ads and 28.2% had purchased; blog users reported 39.4% and 12.8%. These are experience/recall responses with an unverified recall window, not conversion rates (C via press).

Search-Ad Papers

StudyFigureLimitation
Lee and Kim, 2013, B6,299 purchases from 104,918 IP addresses that clicked keyword ads, 6.0%One travel company, February 2011; IP denominator
Yang et al., 2019, BWithin one advertiser, desktop Powerlink CTR ranges 3.16% for generic keywords, average rank 4.41, to 41.43% for own-brand keywords, rank 1.29One niche advertiser; illustrates weakness of one overall average
Kang et al., 2026, B (summary)Commerce ads have higher CTR/CVR and higher cost per conversion than search enginesAbstract direction only; numbers, sample, and Korean-platform scope unverified; one industry-affiliated coauthor
Gmarket's 2011 Naver keyword-ad shutdown, DWeekly visits about 8.9M → 7.2M, described as about −18%, over roughly four monthsNews cited within a paper; visits only, no seasonality/competition control

Platform-Published Cases

All are platform or agency sales material, grade D. Keep each result tied to its stated comparison. Cases with clear interpretive lessons come first.

AdvertiserChannel / productResultComparisonCaveat
KescoPowerlink + Power ContentsContracts more than 3.5× over two years; cost per contract halved2022Tracks ad-attributed contracts; spend also rose; no absolute values
Food/beverage advertiserADVoost ShoppingPurchase ROAS 810% → 1,830%, 8.1× → 18.3×Before adoption; spend about 1.4×Source explicitly selected three especially successful cases
Smart Store Ads usersNaver Smart Store AdsSeven in ten maintained/grew sales; four in ten grew at least 50%Q1 2025Conversely, about three in ten saw sales decline despite advertising, calculated; no nonadvertiser control
Samsung.comGoogle Performance MaxBudget about 2×, revenue 1.8×, ROAS 1.4×Period unstated2× × 1.4× = 2.8×, inconsistent with revenue; country scope unstated
andarGoogle search/shoppingROAS +53% versus targetTarget halved from usualAbout 0.77× the usual target, not an improvement measure, calculated
AkeiTikTok conversion liftPurchase increase 85%; relative purchase lift 551%; TikTok-only buyer ROAS 142%, 1.42×Unexposed groupDifference between the two lifts unexplained. 85% equals 551/651 and may mean incremental share, calculated. Incremental status of ROAS and sample undisclosed

Akei and Catalic are the only Korean advertiser conversion-lift cases found; absent samples prevent deriving calibration multipliers. A pricing reference is CHZZK 15-second instream list CPM of KRW 13,000, with 30–60% discounts by monthly spend. This is a rate card, not realized cost.

Stores and D2C

Purchase Conversion Baselines

BIGIN Ecommerce Trends Vol. 04 reports a 2.06% mean, with a confirmed sample of the top 100 stores by event count and about 237.17 million sessions, February–July 2021. These appear to be the CRM vendor's customers, potentially skewed toward mature stores. The summary does not specify whether the denominator is sessions or visitors, or how the average was calculated. The full-report link is broken; this relies on the summary.

Purchase conversion by industry
February–July 2021, top 100 stores; at least five per industry, so individual stores matter greatly. Grade C.
  • Children / baby5.05%
  • Pets3.21%
  • Food2.95%
  • Beauty2.93%
  • Fashion1.87%
  • Accessories1.74%
  • Sports1.34%
  • Furniture0.72%
Vertical line: Overall mean 2.06%Source: BIGIN
Purchase conversion by traffic source
Same sample, last touch. Returning visitors and brand demand concentrate in direct/organic search. Not incremental. Grade C.
  • Organic search2.88%
  • Direct2.85%
  • Email2.59%
  • Paid search2.38%
  • Referral1.61%
  • Other1.55%
  • Affiliates1.30%
  • Social1.13%
  • Display0.34%
  • Other ads0.17%
Source: BIGIN

AI-referred visits to Cafe24 D2C stores converted at 0.85%, up from 0.50% a year earlier (Q2 2026, about 850,000 visits, C via press). ChatGPT: 0.96%; Gemini: 0.57%; Perplexity: 0.5%. Cafe24's difference-in-differences analysis of paid features reports conversion gains of 29.9% for SEO plus AI product pages and 13.5% for SEO alone, about 2,300 stores (C via press). Adoption is self-selected and baseline rates absent.

Repeat Purchase and Channels in Filings

Definitions differ across companies; rows are not directly comparable.

CompanyFigureDefinition / caveat
09women, BMember → buyer 71.1%; buyer → repeat buyer 61.2%241,000 own-store members, cumulative 2019–2021. Nearby prose instead gives 73% and 62%
Oasis, BMonthly repeat-purchase rate 97–99% in 20221 − first orders by new customers / monthly orders; rises when new customers are scarce
Oasis, same filing, CEver used → used in past three months 71.2%, other channels 47.4%OpenSurvey, 1,500 respondents; presented in strengths section
Coupang Q2 2026, B24.7M active customers; net revenue/customer $301Prior year 23.9M and $307; constant-currency $321, +5%. Not conversion; country scope unstated
Coupang cohort, B2017 cohort's fifth-year total spend 4.55 times first yearCohort total, not per-person spending or retention
Coupang WOW, DOrder frequency nine times nonmembersEarnings-call statement; no definition/sample. Frequent buyers self-select into membership
APR, BKorean own-store share 64.0% → 53.4%2020 → Q3 2023
Peace Piece Studio, BOwn-store KRW 5.6B → 53.7B; external channels 42.2B → 32.3BConsolidated 2023–2025, no overseas split; rising costs also disclosed
KISDI online groceries, B via press35.6% did not use the service again within 12 weeks of their first use1,500-person metropolitan panel

Company Experiments and Before/After Comparisons

Kurly's no-results search improvement measures one feature in two ways. A roughly two-week A/B test gave purchase conversion +0.3 percentage points and purchase amount +0.7%; four weeks after full rollout, purchased units in no-result cases were +595% versus before. The latter concerns only the 6–7% of searches returning no results, with a different outcome and denominator as well as design.

CompanyChangeResultDesign
29CM, DCheckout payment-benefit UXPurchase conversion 56.3% → 57.4%Before/after versus split-arm comparison unspecified
Kurly, DPersonalized sale placementAdd-to-cart +32.2%; revenue/user +44.9%50:50, about one week, versus old model
Kurly, same article, DPersonalized special-offer placementAdd-to-cart +138.7%50:50, about one week, versus recommended ordering
Kurly, DCart recommendationsShare of users adding to cart about +100%About 8% of users, one week; recommendation-area metric
Toss Shopping, DHalved candidate pool, reallocated by modelUser CVR +7.55%, orders/user +10.13%, revenue/user +0.83%, CTR −3.71%Seven days. Uniform-quarter arm rejected despite CVR +8.89% because revenue/user −3.98%
Musinsa, DReduced personalized pushesSends −26%, transaction value/send +57%, daily transaction value +15% or moreAppears before/after; reducing denominator raises per-send values mechanically
Ohouse, DAR product switchingUser purchase conversion +26%Users versus nonusers; self-selection
Olive Young, DSignup flow redesignSignup conversion 7.8% → 20.9%Before/after; required inputs made optional
Olive Young, DStore-pickup add-to-cart buttonStore-routed pickup orders more than doubled; conversion did not rise as hopedCounts compare one month before/after; explicitly distinguishes accessibility from conversion
Vreview, DAI review curationPurchase conversion up to +7.3%; gains at 87% of adopting storesVendor announcement, maximum effect
Very Nature, DChannel comparisonOwn-store app CVR 19.4%, web 8.3%, marketplaces 6.5%Denominator absent; app users already loyal
Naver N Delivery, DFree return/exchange supportSupported sellers' transaction value about +20%Before/after, seasonality and selection
Naver D-Commerce 2020, BSales-analytics tool useRevenue: produce about +34%, appliances +54%, women's apparel +43%; men's apparel nonsignificant40,000 stores; matching plus difference-in-differences; three weeks each before/after; Naver-funded
Cafe24 CRM, C via pressMessage three days after cart activityROAS 2,170%, 21.7×; all-member campaigns 97%, 0.97×Platform aggregate, attributed, no control

For conversion windows, Zigzag's mean search-to-payment time of 3.4 days offers a reference: beauty 2.4, lifestyle 4.4 days in 2023 (D). Searches never leading to purchase are excluded.

Live Commerce

Tracing widely quoted “live-commerce conversion rates” reveals different or undisclosed denominators. The chart groups them to clarify provenance, not to compare performance.

Claims quoted as live-commerce conversion
Denominators differ or are undisclosed. See source assessments below.
  • Top Chinese wanghong20%D
  • Best Musinsa episode14%D
  • Brokerage / solution vendor5% ~ 8%D
  • Solution vendor 20253.5%D
  • Grip average3%D
  • One TMON broadcast2.2%D
  • Naver cumulative, calculated0.89% ~ 1%C
ValueDenominatorProvenanceAssessment
20%Units sold per exposureChinese wanghong agency TWOAB in eBEST 2020. iResearch estimate repeats it without market scopeD, not Korean data
5–8%Units sold per exposureSame report, only “industry data, TWOAB”; an earlier 2020 solution-company CEO statement existsD, no sample, country unclear
5–10%Units sold per exposureArticle citing a Nara Salim Research Institute report, original unverifiedD, no sample
3.5%Undisclosed2025 article on the same solution company, reporter's wordingD
Mean 3%, maximum 27%UndisclosedGrip announcement, 2024D
14%UndisclosedOne Musinsa Live episode, 2021, all-time bestD
2–3% or lessUndisclosed2021 column on seller impressionsD
About 2.2%154 buyers among about 7,000 visitorsColumn author's one TMON broadcast, 2021D, one broadcast
About 0.89% and 1.0%Cumulative buyers ÷ cumulative views, calculatedNaver announcements: 45M views / 400,000 buyers, 170M / 1.7MC; view denominator, buyer uniqueness undisclosed
About 0.8–1.15%Units sold per broadcast ÷ traffic, calculatedMeans/medians in 14,434 Naver broadcastsB, order-of-magnitude only
About 1.08%Sales per broadcast ÷ views, calculatedMeans in 9,938 women's-apparel broadcasts across 16 platformsB, order-of-magnitude only

The three data sources yield around 1%, but the first two cover overlapping Naver periods and use buyers versus units sold. They are not three independent confirmations. Follow this book's rule on ratios of averages and use them only for scale. Kakao reportedly did not disclose purchase conversion; no later official figure was found.

Naver D-Commerce 2021 reports before/after unit-sales +49% and sales value +48% among live-broadcast stores, versus +7% and +16% among nonbroadcast stores (four categories, 5,026 stores, 827 live stores, B). Excluding sales during broadcasts still gives +39% and +37%. Sellers choose whether to broadcast, and baseline daily unit sales already differ, 77 versus 30; this is not causal.

Related docs

Korean Conversion Atlas

Locate conversion evidence from Korean companies and users, identify usable simulation inputs, and distinguish unsupported figures and missing evidence.

Conversion Atlas by Channel

Compare click-through rates, conversion rates, and costs across Google search, Meta, TikTok, LinkedIn, email, and referrals with evidence grades.

LLM Synthetic Customers

Review how well LLM customers reproduce surveys and experiments, and distinguish message shortlisting from unsupported uses in sample sizing, segmentation, and conversion forecasts.

Korean Cases: Consultations, Finance, and Public Experiments

Review hospital no-shows, SMS and phone contact, insurance retention and comparison-to-contract, consultation-to-purchase cases, and randomized Korean studies with sample caveats.

On this page

Paid ChannelsNaver Transaction-Log AnalysisIncreasing BudgetsConsumer RecallSearch-Ad PapersPlatform-Published CasesStores and D2CPurchase Conversion BaselinesRepeat Purchase and Channels in FilingsCompany Experiments and Before/After ComparisonsLive Commerce